"We as a nation, as a family, have taken a historic decision. A system due to which brothers and sisters of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh were deprived of many rights and which was a big obstacle to their development that system has been done away with,” said Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his address to the Nation on August 8, post reorganisation of the state of Jammu & Kashmir into two Union Territories and abrogation of the repressive Article 370 of the Constitution of India.
Much water has flown in the River Jhelum since the historic decision was taken on August 5, 2019. There is a case to carry out an appraisal of the situation to see what happened to the negative predictions, what has been gained and what needs to be worked upon.
First and foremost is the security situation. The so-called leadership of Kashmir, both mainstream and separatist, had always spoken of dire security consequences if any attempt was made to remove the “special status” of the state. “We want to tell the Central Government that tinkering with Article 370 will be akin to setting a powder keg on fire,” said Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) president, Mehbooba Mufti in end July, 2019, a few days before the constitutional provision for the change was passed. Comments on similar lines have often been made by other local Muslim leaders and some in rest of India who have, for long, assisted inimical forces in keeping Kashmir on the boil. A lot of effort was made to psychologically maneuver the people of Kashmir towards hartals (strikes) bandhs (lockouts) and stone-pelting. None of this happened and all predictions in this regard proved to be wrong.
The Eid celebration held within a few days of the decision being notified went off peacefully. The security forces, while keeping an Eagle’s eye, were very cooperative and courteous. Soon after Eid, Government offices and primary schools were opened, attendance was low initially, but it picked up with time. Landline facility was also extended even as the internet stayed restricted for a long time.
It became quite apparent that people had been exhausted by the never-ending violence, turmoil and political disruption in the region and were now interested in peace more than anything else. They looked upon the change with a fair degree of relief and anticipation of some positive changes taking place. Even though the leaders of so-called mainstream parties like the National Conference and PDP were detained, there were no voices raised for their quick release. Even after being released, they have been unable to impact the situation in any gainful manner. This extraordinary situation exposed the hollowness of the Kashmiri leadership claims about the “special status” of the state being sacrosanct. They had, for decades, misleading the people and the state and the nation.
The “ideology of separatism” that has always been the handiwork of a few in their attempt to gain power through dirty politics crumbled in no time. Thus, the so-called “stakeholders” became politically irrelevant. On coming under the pressure of scrutiny for corruption, they threw ideology to the winds and have now adopted a self-preservation mode. Those screaming against India the loudest have suddenly become most accommodative.
Caught completely by surprise, Pakistan took some time to get its act together and then launched an offensive. A rambling speech in the National Assembly by a disconcerted Prime Minister Imran Khan became a cause of controversy due to his threat that the move would cause “more Pulwama like incidents” which was seen as an admission of supporting terrorist activity in Kashmir.
Next came a drama in the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) carried out with the assistance of China. Imran Khan, in many forums, parroted predictions of the massive uprising in Kashmir the moment the restrictions were lifted. This too, did not happen. Embarrassed by the inept handling by Imran Khan, the Pakistan Army took the matter in its own hands and has since been attempting to save face by increasing the threshold of violence in the Valley. A bid to increase local recruitment in the terrorist fold supported by massive ceasefire violations and infiltration bids has come to nought. Pakistan has now run out of both political and military options and has been forced to remain content in its role as an irritant.
The international community was quick to term the constitutional amendment as an “internal issue” and remain neutral. Even US President, Donald Trump, realised that he had created a problem by offering to “mediate on the Kashmir issue” and immediately extricated himself.
Women in the state are quite happy at the prospect of being granted the right to their property even if they are married and settled outside the state which was forbidden under the earlier dispensation. Sections of society like the Valmiki Samaj, West Pakistan refugees etc. who had no rights in the state have already started getting their domicile certificates
On October 31, the state of Jammu & Kashmir emerged with a new Avatar of two Union Territories. The Union Territory of Jammu & Kashmir now comprises of 22 Districts including areas of Muzaffarabad and Mirpur. The Union Territory of Ladakh comprises of two Districts of Kargil and Leh and includes the Pakistan Occupied territories of Gilgit-Baltistan. With this change coming by, a historical wrong that was sticking out as an aberration to the core principles of democracy and freedom enshrined in our Constitution was set right.
Girish Chander Murmu was placed as the first Lieutenant Governor of the Union Territory (UT) of Jammu & Kashmir. In a politically surcharged atmosphere, his primary focus has remained on providing a corruption-free and efficient administration. The effort to boost development gained considerable momentum through the first budget of the UT for the financial year 2020-21, wherein, all supplementary demands for grants were cleared, and the budgetary allocation crossed the threshold of Rs 1 Lakh Crore for the first time. With structures in place, the core issues are being addressed in a sustained and meaningful manner.
Grassroots empowerment is being boosted with massive grants to Panchayats. One quoted figure stands at a grant of Rs. 366 crore to 4483 Panchayats; the government is also digitally connecting all Panchayats. An objective has been set to create 50,000 jobs for the youth for which security forces have come forward with enhanced recruitment projects, Government jobs are being opened, and investors are being motivated to invest in the state. Projects under the Prime Minister’s Awas Yojna (PMAY), Kissan Credit Card (KCC), Ayushman Bharat and others are moving at a very fast pace. Ten per cent of the annual budget in all departments is reserved for Tribal welfare schemes. Women in the state are quite happy at the prospect of being granted the right to their property even if they are married and settled outside the state which was forbidden under the earlier dispensation. Sections of society like the Valmiki Samaj, West Pakistan refugees etc. who had no rights in the state have already started getting their domicile certificates.
The West Pakistan refugees, who were denied permanent resident status in
J&K since 1947, are now being issued domicile certificates by the Union Territory administration
Thirty-seven central laws including Prevention of Corruption Act, The Goods and Services Tax Act, The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code have been made applicable in the Union Territory. These will ensure ease of doing business and help address the endemic corruption prevalent due to lack of accountability. Also empowered are establishments like the Anti-Corruption Bureau, Central Vigilance Commissioner, Central Information Commissioner and Central Administrative Tribunal (CAT) among others.
The most important exercise for Delimitation of constituencies for the Union Territory Legislature and the Union Parliament has been initiated. A Delimitation Commission headed by former Supreme Court judge Ranjana Prakash Desai has already been constituted to redraw Lok Sabha and Assembly constituencies of the Union Territory of Jammu & Kashmir among other states. Election Commissioner Sushil Chandra and state election commissioners of Jammu & Kashmir and four other affected states will be the ex-officio members. This Delimitation will do justice to all the peoples of the Union Territory that has seen domination by one region since Independence.
The youth of Kashmir are quite relieved. Earlier they were being held at ransom by the foreign terrorist elements through fear of retribution if seen as non-participative in the local Azadi (freedom) movement. They were receiving no support from the local leadership. Now the threat has reduced considerably and this has resulted in a perceptible decrease in recruitment of youth in the cult of terrorism. Pakistan, however, is still successful in indoctrinating a few through its Over Ground Workers (OGWs) with the lure of money and propagation of a false religious ideology. Concerted efforts to check this malaise are underway.
The security forces did not let down pressure on terrorist elements at any stage during the transition period. In fact, due to enhanced intelligence, incisive counter-terrorism operation was conducted. Within the current year itself, more than 140 terrorists have been killed, which includes the entire established leadership of all operative terrorist Tanzeems (Group). This has caused a body blow to the Tanzeems. A considered view is that very soon the Kashmir Valley will be free of the menace of terrorism. The security forces, however, have to remain ever vigilant against machinations of Pakistan since the country is determined to revive terrorism and disruption at least in Kashmir if not the rest of the state. In recent times it has resorted to engineering the political killings of BJP leaders in Kashmir and areas on the foothills south of the Pir Panjal mountain range. It is a challenge that will need to be considered with seriousness.
It is also quite evident that the people are quite happy at the prospect of ridding themselves of the local leadership that has been, for decades now, restricted to a few families of the Kashmir region. The space now is open for new leaders. They will need to be honest, accountable and responsible if they wish to survive. The people are unlikely to repeat the mistakes of the past.
Despite diverse geographical regions and demographics, Jammu & Kashmir has forever remained rooted in a spirit of brotherhood, mutual trust and democracy. The people kept their faith in democratic tenets even in the worst of times. They have, forever, maintained that the gun could not resolve problems. It is these qualities which will now help in building a new era that will see the region and its people achieving their lost glory and once again getting to the forefront as a highly cultured and prosperous civilisation.
(The writer is a geo-strategic analyst, columnist and author)